Charts & breakdowns

The headline numbers elsewhere on this site are medians across 1600 decisions. These charts show the distributions and breakdowns behind them — including the decisions that never resulted in a rent increase at all, and the ones with no numeric outcome to measure.

1600 decisions with extracted data
32.6% of decided cases resulted in no rent increase at all
76 decisions with no numeric outcome (withdrawn, struck out, or not stated)
4.8% median change from the existing rent, across all decided cases

What actually happened to the rent

A cut from the landlord’s asking rent isn’t the same as no rent increase — a decision can cut the ask and still raise the tenant’s rent. This splits every decision by what actually happened, not just how it compares to what was asked.

No numeric decision reached76Rent reduced below the existing rent51No increase — rent stayed the same497Increase granted, but less than asked638Full increase granted240Decided rent exceeds what was proposed72
What actually happened to the rent — data behind the chart above
OutcomeDecisionsShare
No numeric decision reached764.8%
Rent reduced below the existing rent513.2%
No increase — rent stayed the same49731.1%
Increase granted, but less than asked63839.9%
Full increase granted24015.0%
Decided rent exceeds what was proposed724.5%

How big was the cut, when the rent was cut?

Among decisions that came in below the landlord's asking rent — the spread of cut sizes behind the single median-cut figure shown elsewhere on this site.

0–5%2365–10%20610–15%13315–20%7120–25%4725–30%1930%+71
How big was the cut, when the rent was cut? — data behind the chart above
Cut from asking rentDecisions
0–5%236
5–10%206
10–15%133
15–20%71
20–25%47
25–30%19
30%+71

How much did the decided rent actually move?

Decided rent compared to the rent the tenant was already paying — including the decisions where the tribunal rejected the increase entirely (0–5%, no change) or reduced the rent below what it was.

Reduced (below 0%)510–5%6805–10%21910–15%11215–20%7620–25%7325–30%4130%+194
How much did the decided rent actually move? — data behind the chart above
Change from existing rentDecisions
Reduced (below 0%)51
0–5%680
5–10%219
10–15%112
15–20%76
20–25%73
25–30%41
30%+194

Does submitting evidence change the outcome?

Median cut from the landlord's asking rent, split by who submitted comparable-rent evidence. Tribunals are meant to decide on the evidence in front of them, so this is the most direct check of whether that shows up in the numbers.

Both sides submitted evidence5.2%Only the tenant submitted evidence9.2%Only the landlord submitted evidence1.9%Neither side submitted evidence2.2%
Does submitting evidence change the outcome? — data behind the chart above
Evidence submittedDecisionsMedian cut
Both sides submitted evidence8105.2%
Only the tenant submitted evidence1889.2%
Only the landlord submitted evidence2431.9%
Neither side submitted evidence1142.2%

Median cut by property type

Property type is free text in the source decisions, grouped here into broad categories.

House3.3%Flat / apartment / maisonette5.0%Other8.2%Room in shared house5.7%Not stated0.0%Studio10.0%
Median cut by property type — data behind the chart above
Property typeDecisionsMedian cut
House7183.3%
Flat / apartment / maisonette6905.0%
Other758.2%
Room in shared house575.7%
Not stated390.0%
Studio2110.0%

Median rent change over time

Median change from the existing rent to the decided rent, by month the decision was published. Months with fewer than 3 published decisions are left off the chart as too noisy to read anything into.

Sep 23Oct 23Nov 23Jan 24Feb 24Mar 24Apr 24May 24Jun 24Jul 24Aug 24Sep 24Oct 24Nov 24Dec 24Jan 25Feb 25Mar 25Apr 25May 25Jun 25Jul 25Aug 25Sep 25Oct 25Nov 25Dec 25Jan 26Feb 26Mar 26Apr 26May 26Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26
Median rent change over time — data behind the chart above
MonthDecisionsMedian change
Sep 23140.0%
Oct 23130.0%
Nov 2345.5%
Jan 24100.0%
Feb 24110.0%
Mar 2470.0%
Apr 2440.0%
May 2440.0%
Jun 24100.0%
Jul 24130.0%
Aug 24110.0%
Sep 24123.3%
Oct 24290.0%
Nov 24269.9%
Dec 24400.0%
Jan 25530.0%
Feb 25620.0%
Mar 25462.1%
Apr 25490.0%
May 25730.0%
Jun 25470.0%
Jul 25476.5%
Aug 25534.7%
Sep 25423.0%
Oct 25420.0%
Nov 25311.8%
Dec 25461.4%
Jan 26409.9%
Feb 26396.7%
Mar 26606.3%
Apr 26375.7%
May 261128.8%
Jun 261639.2%
Jul 261916.2%
Aug 26967.1%
Sep 26465.3%

Local authorities with the deepest median cuts

Restricted to local authorities with at least 5 decisions, so the median isn't one or two cases.

Rother41.4%Oldham32.1%Stockton-on-Tees23.7%Mid Sussex20.1%Richmond upon Thames16.5%Blackburn with Darwen15.3%Elmbridge13.2%Hastings13.1%Slough12.5%Bristol, City of12.5%Southend-on-Sea12.0%Calderdale11.9%
Local authorities with the deepest median cuts — data behind the chart above
Local authorityDecisionsMedian cut% of increases cut
Rother941.4%100.0%
Oldham732.1%100.0%
Stockton-on-Tees523.7%100.0%
Mid Sussex820.1%71.4%
Richmond upon Thames716.5%100.0%
Blackburn with Darwen515.3%75.0%
Elmbridge613.2%83.3%
Hastings713.1%100.0%
Slough1012.5%88.9%
Bristol, City of712.5%85.7%
Southend-on-Sea1412.0%61.5%
Calderdale711.9%100.0%

Fields are extracted from decision text by an AI model and not manually verified case-by-case — see about the data. Medians and percentages above are computed only over decisions where the relevant figure was extracted; sample sizes are shown alongside each chart.